Golden State Warriors vs Minnesota Timberwolves Prediction & Preview — 2026-01-24

Key Takeaways

• The Golden State Warriors will rely on their perimeter shooting to create offensive spacing against a physical Minnesota defense.
• Minnesota Timberwolves need to control the pace and win the rebounding battle to exploit Golden State’s smaller lineups.
• Expect a high-stakes backcourt duel between Stephen Curry and Anthony Edwards, pivotal for both teams’ offensive flows.
• Defensive versatility from the Timberwolves could neutralize Golden State’s pick-and-roll heavy sets by switching effectively.
• The NBA cheat sheets offer essential insights into player matchups and can guide strategic adjustments for both teams.

TL;DR

• The game leans towards the Minnesota Timberwolves, with a projected score of 112–108 in their favor. The Timberwolves’ ability to dominate the boards and defend the perimeter will be crucial factors.

Where This Game Tilts

• Golden State’s reliance on three-point shooting is one of the highest in the league, which can swing games either way.
• Minnesota’s interior defense is among the league’s best, providing a significant edge in protecting the rim.
• The Warriors’ turnover rate is concerning and could be exploited by Minnesota’s aggressive defense.
• Golden State’s spacing can be disrupted by Minnesota’s top-tier switching defense, limiting open looks.
• Timberwolves’ transition offense is improving, posing a threat to the Warriors’ sometimes lax transition defense.

Recent Form & Styles

The Golden State Warriors have been pushing the pace, often focusing on quick ball movement to generate open looks from beyond the arc. Their reliance on three-point shooting can lead to high variance in outcomes, especially against tight defenses. Defensively, they tend to use a lot of switching, which can be vulnerable against teams with strong interior play.

The Minnesota Timberwolves have been emphasizing their defensive presence, particularly in the paint, where they excel at altering shots. Offensively, they have balanced inside-out play, leveraging both their size in the paint and shooting from the perimeter. They tend to slow the game down, emphasizing half-court sets and making each possession count.

Key Matchups

Stephen Curry versus Anthony Edwards will be a compelling matchup, with Curry’s off-ball movement posing a challenge for Edwards’ improving defensive capabilities. However, Edwards’ athleticism and ability to attack the rim could pressure the Warriors’ interior defense.

In the frontcourt, Rudy Gobert’s rim protection will be critical against Golden State’s drives, where Draymond Green’s playmaking will try to draw him out of the paint. The Warriors’ ability to stretch the floor with multiple shooters will test Minnesota’s defensive discipline and ability to rotate.

The battle of the benches might also prove pivotal, with Minnesota’s depth and defensive intensity potentially overwhelming a Warriors’ second unit that can sometimes lack consistent scoring production.

Props Angles

Stephen Curry’s propensity for high-volume three-point attempts makes him a candidate for over markers in scoring props, especially against a Minnesota team that might focus on limiting his drives. Meanwhile, Anthony Edwards’ scoring versatility suggests a potential for higher point totals, as he can exploit mismatches on switches.

Rebounding props for Rudy Gobert are always intriguing, given his dominance on the boards. His presence could be a decisive factor if Golden State fails to box out effectively. NBA player props predictions insights might reveal undervalued opportunities for both teams’ secondary scorers.

For updated prop angles and practice bets, visit our NBA player props predictions page.

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Player Name	Prediction	Line	Trends	Last 15 Games Chart	Team	NBA Game Date
Player Name LauriMarkkanen	Prediction Under	Line 20.5	Trends 27.45	Last 15 Games Chart 20.5 20.5 Under hit 3/15	Team UtahJazz	NBA Game Date 02-12 09:10 PM ET
Player Name AaronWiggins	Prediction Under	Line 19.5	Trends 12.6	Last 15 Games Chart 19.5 19.5 Under hit 14/15	Team OklahomaCityThunder	NBA Game Date 02-12 07:40 PM ET
Player Name AceBailey	Prediction Under	Line 19.5	Trends 14.95	Last 15 Games Chart 19.5 19.5 Under hit 9/15	Team UtahJazz	NBA Game Date 02-12 09:10 PM ET
Player Name BriceSensabaugh	Prediction Over	Line 19.5	Trends 18.3	Last 15 Games Chart 19.5 19.5 Over hit 7/15	Team UtahJazz	NBA Game Date 02-12 09:10 PM ET
Player Name ChetHolmgren	Prediction Under	Line 19.5	Trends 17.65	Last 15 Games Chart 19.5 19.5 Under hit 12/15	Team OklahomaCityThunder	NBA Game Date 02-12 07:40 PM ET
Player Name DeniAvdija	Prediction Over	Line 19.5	Trends 24.8	Last 15 Games Chart 19.5 19.5 Over hit 11/15	Team PortlandTrailBlazers	NBA Game Date 02-12 09:10 PM ET
Player Name IsaiahHartenstein	Prediction Under	Line 19.5	Trends 18.1	Last 15 Games Chart 19.5 19.5 Under hit 10/15	Team OklahomaCityThunder	NBA Game Date 02-12 07:40 PM ET
Player Name JarenJacksonJr	Prediction Over	Line 19.5	Trends 21.6	Last 15 Games Chart 19.5 19.5 Over hit 9/15	Team UtahJazz	NBA Game Date 02-12 09:10 PM ET
Player Name JrueHoliday	Prediction Over	Line 19.5	Trends 20.0	Last 15 Games Chart 19.5 19.5 Over hit 7/15	Team PortlandTrailBlazers	NBA Game Date 02-12 09:10 PM ET
Player Name Kyle Kuzma	Prediction Under	Line 19.5	Trends 20.05	Last 15 Games Chart 19.5 19.5 Under hit 7/15	Team MilwaukeeBucks	NBA Game Date 02-12 07:40 PM ET
Player Name LauriMarkkanen	Prediction Under	Line 19.5	Trends 25.2	Last 15 Games Chart 19.5 19.5 Under hit 5/15	Team UtahJazz	NBA Game Date 02-12 09:10 PM ET
Player Name LeBronJames	Prediction Over	Line 19.5	Trends 22.95	Last 15 Games Chart 19.5 19.5 Over hit 11/15	Team LosAngelesLakers	NBA Game Date 02-12 10:10 PM ET
Player Name MaxChristie	Prediction Under	Line 19.5	Trends 22.3	Last 15 Games Chart 19.5 19.5 Under hit 8/15	Team DallasMavericks	NBA Game Date 02-12 10:10 PM ET
Player Name MylesTurner	Prediction Under	Line 19.5	Trends 20.65	Last 15 Games Chart 19.5 19.5 Under hit 5/15	Team MilwaukeeBucks	NBA Game Date 02-12 07:40 PM ET
Player Name PjWashington	Prediction Under	Line 19.5	Trends 18.95	Last 15 Games Chart 19.5 19.5 Under hit 10/15	Team DallasMavericks	NBA Game Date 02-12 10:10 PM ET

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Venue, Travel & Weather Watch

The Target Center in Minneapolis provides an indoor setting that minimizes external variables, focusing the game solely on the players’ abilities and strategies. The Warriors are on a road trip, which can introduce fatigue, particularly if they have faced a series of games in quick succession.

Minnesota benefits from a slight rest advantage, having played fewer games this week, which could contribute to fresher legs in the fourth quarter. Weather in Minneapolis during January is typically cold, but it is unlikely to affect the game itself beyond potential travel delays.

How to Watch

• Date: 2026-01-24
• Time: 5:30 PM ET
• TV/Stream: Official broadcaster listings (TBA)
• Venue: Target Center — Minneapolis, MN

Methodology & Transparency

This analysis combines historical data with current form and matchup models, focusing on team dynamics and player tendencies. While predictions are informed by patterns and trends, they are not certainties.

Xaslarbet provides daily updates on game-day prop snapshots and cheat sheets, ensuring bettors and fans stay informed with the latest insights. Remember, basketball outcomes can be unpredictable, and the analysis should be used as a guide rather than a guarantee.

FAQ

• How do I interpret the “Last 15 Games” chart/table?
  It shows trends in team and player performance over the recent past, highlighting strengths and weaknesses.

• Where can I find the full slate of NBA games?
  The full schedule is available on the NBA’s official website and most sports apps, offering comprehensive details.

• Who is favored in this matchup?
  Based on current form and matchups, the Minnesota Timberwolves are slightly favored.

Responsible Wagering Note

• Always bet responsibly and within your means.

Pick & Score

• Minnesota Timberwolves 112–108 Golden State Warriors. Confidence: Moderate. Minnesota’s home advantage and defensive strength provide them with a slight edge, especially if they can control the rebounding and limit turnovers.