New Orleans Pelicans vs Houston Rockets Prediction – NBA Game Preview, Picks, Player Props & Analysis

New Orleans Pelicans vs Houston Rockets Prediction - NBA Game Preview, Picks, Player Props & Analysis
MatchupNew Orleans Pelicans at Houston Rockets
Date2026-01-18
Time7:00 PM ET
TV/StreamOfficial broadcaster listings (TBA)
VenueToyota Center (Houston) — Houston, TX

New Orleans Pelicans vs Houston Rockets Prediction & Preview — 2026-01-18

Key Takeaways

  • Expect a high-energy game with the Rockets leveraging home-court advantage and their youthful roster.
  • Pelicans’ ability to control the pace will be crucial against the Rockets’ dynamic perimeter attack.
  • Houston’s defensive schemes will be tested by New Orleans’ interior presence and pick-and-roll proficiency.
  • The NBA cheat sheets provided by analysts offer a detailed view of each team’s current strengths and weaknesses.
  • A battle of contrasting styles: Pelicans’ physicality versus the Rockets’ fast-paced, three-point centric approach.

TL;DR

  • The Rockets’ youthful energy and home advantage give them a slight edge.
  • Projected score: 114–110 Houston Rockets. The Rockets’ perimeter shooting could be the deciding factor.

Where This Game Tilts

  • Pelicans’ offensive success relies heavily on their ability to penetrate and collapse defenses.
  • Rockets’ perimeter shooting is among the top-tier in the league, influencing their scoring bursts.
  • Houston’s defensive rotations and ability to guard the pick-and-roll will be pivotal.
  • Pelicans’ rebounding edge could dictate second-chance opportunities, a key to their game plan.
  • Turnover battle favors the Rockets if they can capitalize on their fast-break chances.

Recent Form & Styles

The New Orleans Pelicans have relied heavily on their half-court sets, using size and physicality to dominate the paint. Their approach often involves a deliberate pace, focusing on high-percentage shots near the rim. This has allowed them to maintain offensive efficiency, but it does slow down their overall game tempo.

Conversely, the Houston Rockets have embraced a more modern style, pushing the pace and spreading the floor with three-point shooters. Their pick-and-roll usage is integral, leveraging speed to create mismatches and open looks. Defensive coverage adjustments, such as switching and hedging, are frequent as they adapt to opponents’ strengths.

Defensively, the Pelicans deploy a mix of drop coverage and aggressive closeouts, aiming to protect the rim while challenging shooters. The Rockets, however, are more aggressive on the perimeter, using their athleticism to force turnovers and ignite fast breaks. Both teams have shown vulnerabilities in transition defense, which opponents often exploit.

Key Matchups

The point guard duel will be fascinating, with the Rockets’ lead guard looking to exploit any defensive lapses by the Pelicans. Houston’s quickness and ability to create off the dribble will test New Orleans’ point-of-attack defense, which has been inconsistent at times. The Pelicans will need to stay disciplined and communicate effectively to contain these threats.

On the wings, the Pelicans’ size and physicality could pose challenges for Houston’s smaller, more nimble defenders. New Orleans will likely target these matchups to generate scoring opportunities through post-ups and drives. Conversely, the Rockets will seek to use their speed and spacing to pull the Pelicans’ defenders out of position, creating open shots.

Inside, the battle between the Pelicans’ rim protectors and Houston’s slashing guards will be crucial. The Pelicans aim to deter drives while the Rockets use their spacing to stretch the defense, hoping to open driving lanes. This dynamic will significantly influence the game’s flow and the effectiveness of each team’s offensive strategy.

Props Angles

For player props, consider focusing on the Pelicans’ big men, who are likely to have opportunities for high rebounding and points in the paint. Given the Rockets’ perimeter-oriented defense, New Orleans’ interior players may see increased touches and scoring chances.

For updated prop angles and practice bets, visit our NBA player props predictions page.

Player NamePredictionLineTrendsLast 15 Games ChartTeamNBA Game Date
Player Name
Max Christie
MaxChristie
Prediction
Over
Line
2.5
Last 15 Games Chart
2.5
2.5
Over hit 11/15
Team
Dallas Mavericks
DallasMavericks
NBA Game Date
02-12 10:10 PM ET
Player Name
Isaiah Hartenstein
IsaiahHartenstein
Prediction
Under
Line
3.5
Last 15 Games Chart
3.5
3.5
Under hit 10/15
Team
Oklahoma City Thunder
OklahomaCityThunder
NBA Game Date
02-12 07:40 PM ET
Player Name
Jake Laravia
JakeLaravia
Prediction
Over
Line
3.5
Last 15 Games Chart
3.5
3.5
Over hit 9/15
Team
Los Angeles Lakers
LosAngelesLakers
NBA Game Date
02-12 10:10 PM ET
Player Name
Caleb Martin
CalebMartin
Prediction
Under
Line
3.5
Last 15 Games Chart
3.5
3.5
Under hit 5/15
Team
Dallas Mavericks
DallasMavericks
NBA Game Date
02-12 10:10 PM ET
Player Name
Jerami Grant
JeramiGrant
Prediction
Over
Line
2.5
Last 15 Games Chart
2.5
2.5
Over hit 7/15
Team
Portland Trail Blazers
PortlandTrailBlazers
NBA Game Date
02-12 09:10 PM ET
Player Name
Naji Marshall
NajiMarshall
Prediction
Over
Line
3.5
Last 15 Games Chart
3.5
3.5
Over hit 7/15
Team
Dallas Mavericks
DallasMavericks
NBA Game Date
02-12 10:10 PM ET
Player Name
Cody Williams
CodyWilliams
Prediction
Under
Line
3.5
Last 15 Games Chart
3.5
3.5
Under hit 8/15
Team
Utah Jazz
UtahJazz
NBA Game Date
02-12 09:10 PM ET
Player Name
Brice Sensabaugh
BriceSensabaugh
Prediction
Over
Line
3.5
Last 15 Games Chart
3.5
3.5
Over hit 7/15
Team
Utah Jazz
UtahJazz
NBA Game Date
02-12 09:10 PM ET
Player Name
Marcus Smart
MarcusSmart
Prediction
Over
Line
2.5
Last 15 Games Chart
2.5
2.5
Over hit 9/15
Team
Los Angeles Lakers
LosAngelesLakers
NBA Game Date
02-12 10:10 PM ET
Player Name
Kyle Kuzma
Kyle Kuzma
Prediction
Under
Line
2.5
Last 15 Games Chart
2.5
2.5
Under hit 10/15
Team
Milwaukee Bucks
MilwaukeeBucks
NBA Game Date
02-12 07:40 PM ET
Player Name
Cason Wallace
CasonWallace
Prediction
Over
Line
2.5
Last 15 Games Chart
2.5
2.5
Over hit 9/15
Team
Oklahoma City Thunder
OklahomaCityThunder
NBA Game Date
02-12 07:40 PM ET
Player Name
Aj Green
Aj Green
Prediction
Under
Line
2.5
Last 15 Games Chart
2.5
2.5
Under hit 5/15
Team
Milwaukee Bucks
MilwaukeeBucks
NBA Game Date
02-12 07:40 PM ET
Player Name
Isaiah Collier
IsaiahCollier
Prediction
Under
Line
3.5
Last 15 Games Chart
3.5
3.5
Under hit 8/15
Team
Utah Jazz
UtahJazz
NBA Game Date
02-12 09:10 PM ET
Player Name
Max Christie
MaxChristie
Prediction
Under
Line
2.5
Last 15 Games Chart
2.5
2.5
Under hit 7/15
Team
Dallas Mavericks
DallasMavericks
NBA Game Date
02-12 10:10 PM ET
Player Name
Toumani Camara
ToumaniCamara
Prediction
Over
Line
1.5
Last 15 Games Chart
1.5
1.5
Over hit 11/15
Team
Portland Trail Blazers
PortlandTrailBlazers
NBA Game Date
02-12 09:10 PM ET
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Similarly, Rockets’ guards are worth watching for potential scoring bursts, particularly in transition and catch-and-shoot scenarios. Their ability to exploit mismatches and push the pace can lead to notable stat lines. Remember to use the NBA player props predictions section as a guide for potential value plays.

Venue, Travel & Weather Watch

The Toyota Center provides the Rockets with a familiar backdrop and its supportive crowd can be a significant advantage. The Pelicans are coming off a short travel stint, having played recently, which may impact their energy levels. However, both teams are accustomed to the indoor conditions, negating any weather-related factors.

Houston’s travel schedule has been relatively light, allowing them to maintain fresh legs and focus on this home matchup. New Orleans, however, has had a more grueling stretch, potentially affecting their performance late in the game. These factors could play a subtle but important role in the outcome.

How to Watch

  • Date: 2026-01-18
  • Time: 7:00 PM ET
  • TV/Stream: Official broadcaster listings (TBA)
  • Venue: Toyota Center (Houston) — Houston, TX

Methodology & Transparency

Our analysis combines advanced matchup models with current form assessments to predict game outcomes. By focusing on key elements such as spacing, rim pressure, and defensive schemes, we aim to provide a comprehensive view of the matchup.

While these insights offer a directional look at the game, they aren’t guarantees. Betting decisions should be made considering personal judgment and risk tolerance. Xaslarbet updates game-day prop snapshots and cheat sheets daily, which can be a helpful resource.

FAQ

  • How can I interpret the “Last 15 Games” chart/table? The chart provides a visual summary of each team’s recent performance trends, highlighting areas such as scoring, defense, and key statistical categories.

  • Where can I find the full slate of games? The full slate is available on major sports websites, apps, and NBA-specific platforms, offering schedule details and game previews.

  • What is the main advantage for the Rockets in this matchup? Houston’s speed and perimeter shooting are significant advantages, especially against slower, physical teams like the Pelicans.

Responsible Wagering Note

  • Always bet responsibly and within your means.

Pick & Score

  • The prediction leans towards the Rockets securing a victory with a score of 114–110. Confidence in this outcome is moderate, driven by Houston’s home-court advantage and perimeter effectiveness. The Pelicans’ physical style could disrupt, but the Rockets’ shooting may ultimately prevail.
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