New England Patriots vs Denver Broncos Prediction – NFL Preview, Picks & Analysis

New England Patriots vs Denver Broncos Prediction - NFL Preview, Picks & Analysis
MatchupNew England Patriots at Denver Broncos
Date2026-01-25
TimeTBA (ET)

New England Patriots vs Denver Broncos Prediction & Preview — 2026-01-25

TL;DR

In a clash between two cold-weather teams, the New England Patriots are set to edge out the Denver Broncos with a projected score of 20–17 New England Patriots. The Patriots’ ability to control the ball and limit Denver’s explosive plays will be crucial. Additionally, New England’s improved pass protection could neutralize Denver’s defensive pressure.
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Where This Game Tilts

  • New England’s offensive line is showing top-tier improvement in pass protection, crucial against Denver’s pass rush.
  • Patriots’ secondary is trending towards a lockdown unit, challenging Denver’s deep passing game.
  • Denver’s run defense remains stout, potentially limiting New England’s ground attack efficiency.
  • The Broncos’ offense is inconsistent, with a bottom-10 ranking in third-down conversions.
  • New England’s coaching staff excels in in-game adjustments, particularly against predictable offensive schemes.

Recent Form & Styles

The New England Patriots have gradually found their rhythm, leaning on a balanced offensive approach that combines quick passes with a methodical ground game. Their offensive line has been increasingly sturdy, allowing their quarterback more time to scan the field and reducing turnover risks. Defensively, they’ve shown an uptick in creating turnovers and smothering opponents’ passing lanes, a testament to their evolving secondary.

Conversely, the Denver Broncos have been a mixed bag, struggling to find consistency on both sides of the ball. Offensively, they have flashed potential with explosive plays but often falter in sustained drives, particularly on third downs. Their ground game remains reliable, yet their air attack is plagued by protection issues and inconsistency at the quarterback position. Defensively, Denver relies heavily on their front seven to generate pressure, yet their secondary has shown vulnerability against precise passing attacks.

Both teams seem to favor a slower pace, with New England methodically controlling the clock to keep opposing offenses off the field. Denver, while capable of quick scoring, often engages in a more deliberate approach, a necessity given their current offensive inefficiencies. This sets up an intriguing battle of game management versus big-play potential.

Key Matchups

The battle in the trenches will be pivotal, as New England’s offensive line faces a formidable Denver defensive front. The Patriots’ recent improvements in pass protection will be tested by Denver’s edge rushers, who are adept at applying pressure. If New England can keep their quarterback upright, it will allow them to exploit mismatches in Denver’s secondary.

On the outside, New England’s receivers will challenge Denver’s corners. The Patriots’ ability to run crisp routes and create separation will be vital, especially if Denver opts to deploy zone coverage schemes to mitigate the deep threat. Look for New England to utilize quick slants and intermediate routes to keep the chains moving.

The running back battle also deserves attention, with New England’s backs facing a tough test against Denver’s resilient front seven. The Patriots may look to deploy a mix of inside and outside zone runs to test Denver’s lateral speed and discipline in run fits. Conversely, Denver’s rushing attack will need to overcome New England’s improving run defense, which has been effective in plugging gaps and limiting big gains.

Take Me To NFL Player Props Predictions.

Player NamePositionPropLinePredictionTrust%TrendsLast 5 GamesLast 10 GamesLast 15 GamesTeamOpp. EaseTempoWeatherWindOddsDate
Player Name
Treveyon HendersonTreveyon Henderson
Position
RB
Prop
receivingyards
LinePrediction
Under
Trust%Last 5 Games
Under Hit 4/5 Times
Last 10 Games
Under Hit 4/10 Times
Last 15 Games
Under Hit 7/15 Times
Team
New England Patriots
Opp. EaseTempoWeatherWindOddsDate
02-08
Player Name
Treveyon HendersonTreveyon Henderson
Position
RB
Prop
rushingyards
LinePrediction
Over
Trust%Last 5 Games
Over Hit 4/5 Times
Last 10 Games
Over Hit 8/10 Times
Last 15 Games
Over Hit 12/15 Times
Team
New England Patriots
Opp. EaseTempoWeatherWindOddsDate
02-08
Player Name
Treveyon HendersonTreveyon Henderson
Position
RB
Prop
receptions
LinePrediction
Over
Trust%Last 5 Games
Over Hit 2/5 Times
Last 10 Games
Over Hit 7/10 Times
Last 15 Games
Over Hit 10/15 Times
Team
New England Patriots
Opp. EaseTempoWeatherWindOddsDate
02-08
Player Name
Treveyon HendersonTreveyon Henderson
Position
RB
Prop
anytimetd
LinePrediction
Yes
Trust%Last 5 Games
Yes Hit 1/5 Times
Last 10 Games
Yes Hit 3/10 Times
Last 15 Games
Yes Hit 4/15 Times
Team
New England Patriots
Opp. EaseTempoWeatherWindOddsDate
02-08
Player Name
Stefon DiggsStefon Diggs
Position
WR
Prop
receivingyards
LinePrediction
Under
Trust%Last 5 Games
Under Hit 4/5 Times
Last 10 Games
Under Hit 7/10 Times
Last 15 Games
Under Hit 10/15 Times
Team
New England Patriots
Opp. EaseTempoWeatherWindOddsDate
02-08
Player Name
Stefon DiggsStefon Diggs
Position
WR
Prop
receptions
LinePrediction
Under
Trust%Last 5 Games
Under Hit 3/5 Times
Last 10 Games
Under Hit 6/10 Times
Last 15 Games
Under Hit 9/15 Times
Team
New England Patriots
Opp. EaseTempoWeatherWindOddsDate
02-08
Player Name
Stefon DiggsStefon Diggs
Position
WR
Prop
anytimetd
LinePrediction
Yes
Trust%Last 5 Games
Yes Hit 2/5 Times
Last 10 Games
Yes Hit 2/10 Times
Last 15 Games
Yes Hit 5/15 Times
Team
New England Patriots
Opp. EaseTempoWeatherWindOddsDate
02-08
Player Name
Sam DarnoldSam Darnold
Position
QB
Prop
passattempts
LinePrediction
Under
Trust%Last 5 Games
Under Hit 3/5 Times
Last 10 Games
Under Hit 5/10 Times
Last 15 Games
Under Hit 8/15 Times
Team
Seattle Seahawks
Opp. EaseTempoWeatherWindOddsDate
02-08
Player Name
Sam DarnoldSam Darnold
Position
QB
Prop
passingyards
LinePrediction
Under
Trust%Last 5 Games
Under Hit 3/5 Times
Last 10 Games
Under Hit 4/10 Times
Last 15 Games
Under Hit 6/15 Times
Team
Seattle Seahawks
Opp. EaseTempoWeatherWindOddsDate
02-08
Player Name
Sam DarnoldSam Darnold
Position
QB
Prop
rushingyards
LinePrediction
Over
Trust%Last 5 Games
Over Hit 3/5 Times
Last 10 Games
Over Hit 5/10 Times
Last 15 Games
Over Hit 5/15 Times
Team
Seattle Seahawks
Opp. EaseTempoWeatherWindOddsDate
02-08
Player Name
Sam DarnoldSam Darnold
Position
QB
Prop
anytimetd
LinePrediction
Yes
Trust%Last 5 Games
Yes Hit 0/5 Times
Last 10 Games
Yes Hit 0/10 Times
Last 15 Games
Yes Hit 0/15 Times
Team
Seattle Seahawks
Opp. EaseTempoWeatherWindOddsDate
02-08
Player Name
Robbie OuztsRobbie Ouzts
Position
RB
Prop
anytimetd
LinePrediction
Yes
Trust%Last 5 Games
Yes Hit 0/5 Times
Last 10 Games
Yes Hit 0/5 Times
Last 15 Games
Yes Hit 0/5 Times
Team
Seattle Seahawks
Opp. EaseTempoWeatherWindOddsDate
02-08
Player Name
Rhamondre StevensonRhamondre Stevenson
Position
RB
Prop
rushingyards
LinePrediction
Over
Trust%Last 5 Games
Over Hit 4/5 Times
Last 10 Games
Over Hit 5/10 Times
Last 15 Games
Over Hit 6/15 Times
Team
New England Patriots
Opp. EaseTempoWeatherWindOddsDate
02-08
Player Name
Rhamondre StevensonRhamondre Stevenson
Position
RB
Prop
receivingyards
LinePrediction
Under
Trust%Last 5 Games
Under Hit 3/5 Times
Last 10 Games
Under Hit 5/10 Times
Last 15 Games
Under Hit 9/15 Times
Team
New England Patriots
Opp. EaseTempoWeatherWindOddsDate
02-08
Player Name
Rhamondre StevensonRhamondre Stevenson
Position
RB
Prop
receptions
LinePrediction
Under
Trust%Last 5 Games
Under Hit 3/5 Times
Last 10 Games
Under Hit 8/10 Times
Last 15 Games
Under Hit 13/15 Times
Team
New England Patriots
Opp. EaseTempoWeatherWindOddsDate
02-08
Player Name
Rhamondre StevensonRhamondre Stevenson
Position
RB
Prop
anytimetd
LinePrediction
Yes
Trust%Last 5 Games
Yes Hit 2/5 Times
Last 10 Games
Yes Hit 3/10 Times
Last 15 Games
Yes Hit 5/15 Times
Team
New England Patriots
Opp. EaseTempoWeatherWindOddsDate
02-08
Player Name
Rashid ShaheedRashid Shaheed
Position
WR
Prop
receptions
LinePrediction
Under
Trust%Last 5 Games
Under Hit 5/5 Times
Last 10 Games
Under Hit 7/10 Times
Last 15 Games
Under Hit 8/15 Times
Team
Seattle Seahawks
Opp. EaseTempoWeatherWindOddsDate
02-08
Player Name
Rashid ShaheedRashid Shaheed
Position
WR
Prop
receivingyards
LinePrediction
Under
Trust%Last 5 Games
Under Hit 4/5 Times
Last 10 Games
Under Hit 6/10 Times
Last 15 Games
Under Hit 7/15 Times
Team
Seattle Seahawks
Opp. EaseTempoWeatherWindOddsDate
02-08
Player Name
Rashid ShaheedRashid Shaheed
Position
WR
Prop
rushingyards
LinePrediction
Over
Trust%Last 5 Games
Over Hit 2/5 Times
Last 10 Games
Over Hit 4/10 Times
Last 15 Games
Over Hit 5/15 Times
Team
Seattle Seahawks
Opp. EaseTempoWeatherWindOddsDate
02-08
Player Name
Rashid ShaheedRashid Shaheed
Position
WR
Prop
anytimetd
LinePrediction
Yes
Trust%Last 5 Games
Yes Hit 0/5 Times
Last 10 Games
Yes Hit 0/10 Times
Last 15 Games
Yes Hit 0/15 Times
Team
Seattle Seahawks
Opp. EaseTempoWeatherWindOddsDate
02-08
Player Name
Nick KallerupNick Kallerup
Position
TE
Prop
anytimetd
LinePrediction
Yes
Trust%Last 5 Games
Yes Hit 0/4 Times
Last 10 Games
Yes Hit 0/4 Times
Last 15 Games
Yes Hit 0/4 Times
Team
Seattle Seahawks
Opp. EaseTempoWeatherWindOddsDate
02-08
Player Name
Mack HollinsMack Hollins
Position
WR
Prop
receivingyards
LinePrediction
Over
Trust%Last 5 Games
Over Hit 4/5 Times
Last 10 Games
Over Hit 8/10 Times
Last 15 Games
Over Hit 10/15 Times
Team
New England Patriots
Opp. EaseTempoWeatherWindOddsDate
02-08
Player Name
Mack HollinsMack Hollins
Position
WR
Prop
receptions
LinePrediction
Under
Trust%Last 5 Games
Under Hit 2/5 Times
Last 10 Games
Under Hit 4/10 Times
Last 15 Games
Under Hit 8/15 Times
Team
New England Patriots
Opp. EaseTempoWeatherWindOddsDate
02-08
Player Name
Mack HollinsMack Hollins
Position
WR
Prop
anytimetd
LinePrediction
Yes
Trust%Last 5 Games
Yes Hit 0/5 Times
Last 10 Games
Yes Hit 0/10 Times
Last 15 Games
Yes Hit 2/15 Times
Team
New England Patriots
Opp. EaseTempoWeatherWindOddsDate
02-08
Player Name
Kyle WilliamsKyle Williams
Position
DL
Prop
receivingyards
LinePrediction
Over
Trust%Last 5 Games
Over Hit 3/5 Times
Last 10 Games
Over Hit 6/10 Times
Last 15 Games
Over Hit 7/15 Times
Team
New England Patriots
Opp. EaseTempoWeatherWindOddsDate
02-08
Player Name
Kyle WilliamsKyle Williams
Position
DL
Prop
anytimetd
LinePrediction
Yes
Trust%Last 5 Games
Yes Hit 1/5 Times
Last 10 Games
Yes Hit 3/10 Times
Last 15 Games
Yes Hit 3/15 Times
Team
New England Patriots
Opp. EaseTempoWeatherWindOddsDate
02-08
Player Name
Kenneth Walker IiiKenneth Walker Iii
Position
RB
Prop
anytimetd
LinePrediction
Yes
Trust%Last 5 Games
Yes Hit 3/5 Times
Last 10 Games
Yes Hit 4/10 Times
Last 15 Games
Yes Hit 4/15 Times
Team
Seattle Seahawks
Opp. EaseTempoWeatherWindOddsDate
02-08
Player Name
Kenneth Walker IiiKenneth Walker Iii
Position
RB
Prop
rushingyards
LinePrediction
Under
Trust%Last 5 Games
Under Hit 2/5 Times
Last 10 Games
Under Hit 7/10 Times
Last 15 Games
Under Hit 11/15 Times
Team
Seattle Seahawks
Opp. EaseTempoWeatherWindOddsDate
02-08
Player Name
Kenneth Walker IiiKenneth Walker Iii
Position
RB
Prop
receivingyards
LinePrediction
Under
Trust%Last 5 Games
Under Hit 1/5 Times
Last 10 Games
Under Hit 4/10 Times
Last 15 Games
Under Hit 9/15 Times
Team
Seattle Seahawks
Opp. EaseTempoWeatherWindOddsDate
02-08
Player Name
Kenneth Walker IiiKenneth Walker Iii
Position
RB
Prop
receptions
LinePrediction
Under
Trust%Last 5 Games
Under Hit 1/5 Times
Last 10 Games
Under Hit 3/10 Times
Last 15 Games
Under Hit 8/15 Times
Team
Seattle Seahawks
Opp. EaseTempoWeatherWindOddsDate
02-08
Player Name
Kayshon BoutteKayshon Boutte
Position
WR
Prop
receivingyards
LinePrediction
Under
Trust%Last 5 Games
Under Hit 3/5 Times
Last 10 Games
Under Hit 6/10 Times
Last 15 Games
Under Hit 8/15 Times
Team
New England Patriots
Opp. EaseTempoWeatherWindOddsDate
02-08
Player Name
Kayshon BoutteKayshon Boutte
Position
WR
Prop
receptions
LinePrediction
Under
Trust%Last 5 Games
Under Hit 3/5 Times
Last 10 Games
Under Hit 6/10 Times
Last 15 Games
Under Hit 9/15 Times
Team
New England Patriots
Opp. EaseTempoWeatherWindOddsDate
02-08
Player Name
Kayshon BoutteKayshon Boutte
Position
WR
Prop
anytimetd
LinePrediction
Yes
Trust%Last 5 Games
Yes Hit 1/5 Times
Last 10 Games
Yes Hit 3/10 Times
Last 15 Games
Yes Hit 5/15 Times
Team
New England Patriots
Opp. EaseTempoWeatherWindOddsDate
02-08
Player Name
Jaxon Smith NjigbaJaxon Smith Njigba
Position
WR
Prop
rushingyards
LinePrediction
Under
Trust%Last 5 Games
Under Hit 5/5 Times
Last 10 Games
Under Hit 8/10 Times
Last 15 Games
Under Hit 12/15 Times
Team
Seattle Seahawks
Opp. EaseTempoWeatherWindOddsDate
02-08
Player Name
Jaxon Smith NjigbaJaxon Smith Njigba
Position
WR
Prop
anytimetd
LinePrediction
Yes
Trust%Last 5 Games
Yes Hit 3/5 Times
Last 10 Games
Yes Hit 5/10 Times
Last 15 Games
Yes Hit 9/15 Times
Team
Seattle Seahawks
Opp. EaseTempoWeatherWindOddsDate
02-08
Player Name
Jaxon Smith NjigbaJaxon Smith Njigba
Position
WR
Prop
receivingyards
LinePrediction
Under
Trust%Last 5 Games
Under Hit 3/5 Times
Last 10 Games
Under Hit 5/10 Times
Last 15 Games
Under Hit 5/15 Times
Team
Seattle Seahawks
Opp. EaseTempoWeatherWindOddsDate
02-08
Player Name
Jaxon Smith NjigbaJaxon Smith Njigba
Position
WR
Prop
receptions
LinePrediction
Under
Trust%Last 5 Games
Under Hit 2/5 Times
Last 10 Games
Under Hit 3/10 Times
Last 15 Games
Under Hit 4/15 Times
Team
Seattle Seahawks
Opp. EaseTempoWeatherWindOddsDate
02-08
Player Name
Jake BoboJake Bobo
Position
WR
Prop
receivingyards
LinePrediction
Under
Trust%Last 5 Games
Under Hit 2/5 Times
Last 10 Games
Under Hit 3/10 Times
Last 15 Games
Under Hit 6/15 Times
Team
Seattle Seahawks
Opp. EaseTempoWeatherWindOddsDate
02-08
Player Name
Jake BoboJake Bobo
Position
WR
Prop
anytimetd
LinePrediction
Yes
Trust%Last 5 Games
Yes Hit 1/5 Times
Last 10 Games
Yes Hit 2/10 Times
Last 15 Games
Yes Hit 2/15 Times
Team
Seattle Seahawks
Opp. EaseTempoWeatherWindOddsDate
02-08
Player Name
Jack WestoverJack Westover
Position
TE
Prop
receivingyards
LinePrediction
Under
Trust%Last 5 Games
Under Hit 4/5 Times
Last 10 Games
Under Hit 4/5 Times
Last 15 Games
Under Hit 4/5 Times
Team
New England Patriots
Opp. EaseTempoWeatherWindOddsDate
02-08
Player Name
Jack WestoverJack Westover
Position
TE
Prop
anytimetd
LinePrediction
Yes
Trust%Last 5 Games
Yes Hit 0/5 Times
Last 10 Games
Yes Hit 0/5 Times
Last 15 Games
Yes Hit 0/5 Times
Team
New England Patriots
Opp. EaseTempoWeatherWindOddsDate
02-08
Player Name
Hunter HenryHunter Henry
Position
TE
Prop
receptions
LinePrediction
Under
Trust%Last 5 Games
Under Hit 4/5 Times
Last 10 Games
Under Hit 5/10 Times
Last 15 Games
Under Hit 8/15 Times
Team
New England Patriots
Opp. EaseTempoWeatherWindOddsDate
02-08
Player Name
Hunter HenryHunter Henry
Position
TE
Prop
anytimetd
LinePrediction
Yes
Trust%Last 5 Games
Yes Hit 2/5 Times
Last 10 Games
Yes Hit 4/10 Times
Last 15 Games
Yes Hit 5/15 Times
Team
New England Patriots
Opp. EaseTempoWeatherWindOddsDate
02-08
Player Name
Hunter HenryHunter Henry
Position
TE
Prop
receivingyards
LinePrediction
Under
Trust%Last 5 Games
Under Hit 2/5 Times
Last 10 Games
Under Hit 4/10 Times
Last 15 Games
Under Hit 8/15 Times
Team
New England Patriots
Opp. EaseTempoWeatherWindOddsDate
02-08
Player Name
George HolaniGeorge Holani
Position
RB
Prop
receivingyards
LinePrediction
Under
Trust%Last 5 Games
Under Hit 4/5 Times
Last 10 Games
Under Hit 8/10 Times
Last 15 Games
Under Hit 12/14 Times
Team
Seattle Seahawks
Opp. EaseTempoWeatherWindOddsDate
02-08
Player Name
George HolaniGeorge Holani
Position
RB
Prop
receptions
LinePrediction
Under
Trust%Last 5 Games
Under Hit 4/5 Times
Last 10 Games
Under Hit 8/10 Times
Last 15 Games
Under Hit 12/14 Times
Team
Seattle Seahawks
Opp. EaseTempoWeatherWindOddsDate
02-08
Player Name
George HolaniGeorge Holani
Position
RB
Prop
rushingyards
LinePrediction
Under
Trust%Last 5 Games
Under Hit 4/5 Times
Last 10 Games
Under Hit 8/10 Times
Last 15 Games
Under Hit 12/14 Times
Team
Seattle Seahawks
Opp. EaseTempoWeatherWindOddsDate
02-08
Player Name
George HolaniGeorge Holani
Position
RB
Prop
anytimetd
LinePrediction
Yes
Trust%Last 5 Games
Yes Hit 1/5 Times
Last 10 Games
Yes Hit 1/10 Times
Last 15 Games
Yes Hit 1/14 Times
Team
Seattle Seahawks
Opp. EaseTempoWeatherWindOddsDate
02-08
Player Name
Eric SaubertEric Saubert
Position
TE
Prop
anytimetd
LinePrediction
Yes
Trust%Last 5 Games
Yes Hit 0/5 Times
Last 10 Games
Yes Hit 0/10 Times
Last 15 Games
Yes Hit 1/15 Times
Team
Seattle Seahawks
Opp. EaseTempoWeatherWindOddsDate
02-08
Player Name
Elijah ArroyoElijah Arroyo
Position
TE
Prop
anytimetd
LinePrediction
Yes
Trust%Last 5 Games
Yes Hit 0/5 Times
Last 10 Games
Yes Hit 1/10 Times
Last 15 Games
Yes Hit 1/13 Times
Team
Seattle Seahawks
Opp. EaseTempoWeatherWindOddsDate
02-08

Finally, the quarterback duel is intriguing, with both signal callers needing to manage the game efficiently. New England’s QB must be sharp against Denver’s blitz schemes, while Denver’s QB should focus on avoiding turnovers against a Patriots defense that thrives on capitalizing on mistakes.

Props Angles

Considering the Patriots’ recent game plans, their quarterback is likely to exceed expectations in passing yards, especially if they face a porous Denver secondary. Meanwhile, Denver’s running back should see a high volume of carries, given their reliance on the ground game. New England’s top receiver might be a good bet for receptions, given Denver’s potential struggles in man coverage.

NFL player props predictions & insights

Venue, Travel & Weather Watch

The game will be played at Empower Field at Mile High in Denver, an outdoor stadium renowned for its altitude, which can affect visiting teams unaccustomed to the thinner air. Travel for New England involves a cross-country trip, but they have a solid track record with managing such logistics. Weather conditions are typically unpredictable in January, with potential for cold temperatures and snow, impacting both the passing and kicking games. However, both teams are accustomed to harsh conditions, which should level the playing field.

How to Watch

  • Date: 2026-01-25
  • Time: TBA (ET)
  • TV/Stream: Official broadcaster listings (TBA)

Methodology & Transparency

Our analysis combines directional inputs from recent performances, film study, and matchup assessments. While trends and tendencies guide predictions, the unpredictable nature of football means outcomes are not guaranteed. We focus on identifying key pressure points and potential game script scenarios, while acknowledging the impact of coaching adjustments and player execution.

Responsible Wagering Note

Always wager responsibly, recognizing the inherent unpredictability in sports outcomes.

Pick & Score

New England Patriots are projected to win this matchup with a score of 20–17. Confidence is moderate, based on New England’s advantages in pass protection and secondary play. The Patriots’ ability to adapt and control the game’s tempo should see them through in a closely contested battle.
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