
| Matchup | Houston Texans at New England Patriots |
|---|---|
| Date | 2026-01-18 |
| Time | TBA (ET) |
Houston Texans vs New England Patriots Prediction & Preview — 2026-01-18
TL;DR
In this AFC showdown, the New England Patriots are set to host the Houston Texans. With a leaning towards the Patriots given their stronger defensive capabilities and home-field advantage, the projected score is 27–17 New England Patriots. The key hinge points are the Patriots’ ability to disrupt Houston’s passing game and exploit their run defense weaknesses.
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Where This Game Tilts
- The Patriots’ defense is top-tier at generating pressure, which could rattle Houston’s quarterback.
- Houston’s offensive line has shown vulnerability against stunts and complex blitz packages.
- New England’s secondary excels in zone coverage, potentially limiting explosive plays downfield.
- The Texans’ run defense has been porous, ranking near the bottom of the league.
- New England’s ground game is improving, often controlling the tempo and field position.
Recent Form & Styles
The New England Patriots have been a model of defensive consistency this season, particularly in their ability to pressure opposing quarterbacks. Their pass rush is effective, often creating turnovers that shift momentum. Offensively, the Patriots have leaned on a balanced attack with a slight preference for the run, helping control the clock and wear down defenses. Their passing game, while not explosive, is efficient, emphasizing short to intermediate routes.
The Houston Texans, on the other hand, have displayed an aggressive offensive style, heavily reliant on their passing game to generate chunk plays. They have struggled to maintain a consistent ground attack, often leaving their quarterback vulnerable to blitzes. Defensively, they’ve been susceptible to both the run and the pass, allowing opponents to dictate terms. Their secondary, though opportunistic at times, has given up significant yardage, especially against teams that can sustain drives.
Houston’s recent form shows a team trying to find its identity amidst a transitional phase. While their offensive strategy aims for explosiveness, the lack of a reliable running game has made it challenging to sustain drives. Defensively, the Texans have had difficulty containing well-rounded offenses, often yielding points in crucial situations.
Key Matchups
One of the defining matchups will be the Texans’ offensive line against the Patriots’ defensive front. New England’s ability to apply pressure could severely disrupt Houston’s passing rhythm, especially if the Texans’ line fails to pick up blitzes and stunts. This pressure could force quick throws, playing into the hands of the Patriots’ skilled secondary.
On the other side of the ball, the Patriots’ running backs face a favorable matchup against a struggling Texans’ front-seven. New England’s run game could exploit gaps in Houston’s defense, setting the stage for play-action opportunities and potentially dictating the pace of the game. If the Patriots can establish the run early, it will open up their passing game, allowing their quarterback to capitalize on Houston’s defensive lapses.
Take Me To NFL Player Props Predictions.
| Player Name | Position | Prop | Line | Prediction | Trust% | Trends | Last 5 Games | Last 10 Games | Last 15 Games | Team | Opp. Ease | Tempo | Weather | Wind | Odds | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Player Name Kyle Williams | Position DL | Prop receivingyards | Line 0.5BestLines | Prediction Over | Trust% | Trends 13.6 | Last 5 Games Over Hit 3/5 Times | Last 10 Games Over Hit 6/10 Times | Last 15 Games Over Hit 7/15 Times | Team![]() | Opp. Ease | Tempo | Weather | Wind | Odds 176BestOdds | Date 02-08 |
Player Name Jaxon Smith Njigba | Position WR | Prop receptions | Line 6.5BestLines | Prediction Under | Trust% | Trends 7.1 | Last 5 Games Under Hit 2/5 Times | Last 10 Games Under Hit 3/10 Times | Last 15 Games Under Hit 4/15 Times | Team![]() | Opp. Ease | Tempo | Weather | Wind | Odds 117BestOdds | Date 02-08 |
Player Name George Holani | Position RB | Prop receptions | Line 1.5BestLines | Prediction Under | Trust% | Trends 0.4 | Last 5 Games Under Hit 4/5 Times | Last 10 Games Under Hit 8/10 Times | Last 15 Games Under Hit 12/14 Times | Team![]() | Opp. Ease | Tempo | Weather | Wind | Odds 116BestOdds | Date 02-08 |
Player Name Kenneth Walker Iii | Position RB | Prop receptions | Line 2.5BestLines | Prediction Under | Trust% | Trends 2.1 | Last 5 Games Under Hit 1/5 Times | Last 10 Games Under Hit 3/10 Times | Last 15 Games Under Hit 8/15 Times | Team![]() | Opp. Ease | Tempo | Weather | Wind | Odds 110BestOdds | Date 02-08 |
Player Name Aj Barner | Position TE | Prop rushingyards | Line 0.5BestLines | Prediction Over | Trust% | Trends 0.8 | Last 5 Games Over Hit 2/5 Times | Last 10 Games Over Hit 4/10 Times | Last 15 Games Over Hit 7/15 Times | Team![]() | Opp. Ease | Tempo | Weather | Wind | Odds 108BestOdds | Date 02-08 |
Player Name Stefon Diggs | Position WR | Prop receptions | Line 4.5BestLines | Prediction Under | Trust% | Trends 4.5 | Last 5 Games Under Hit 3/5 Times | Last 10 Games Under Hit 6/10 Times | Last 15 Games Under Hit 9/15 Times | Team![]() | Opp. Ease | Tempo | Weather | Wind | Odds 105BestOdds | Date 02-08 |
Player Name Rashid Shaheed | Position WR | Prop receptions | Line 1.5BestLines | Prediction Under | Trust% | Trends 2.5 | Last 5 Games Under Hit 5/5 Times | Last 10 Games Under Hit 7/10 Times | Last 15 Games Under Hit 8/15 Times | Team![]() | Opp. Ease | Tempo | Weather | Wind | Odds 102BestOdds | Date 02-08 |
Player Name Kenneth Walker Iii | Position RB | Prop anytimetd | Line 0.5BestLines | Prediction Yes | Trust% | Trends 0.4 | Last 5 Games Yes Hit 3/5 Times | Last 10 Games Yes Hit 4/10 Times | Last 15 Games Yes Hit 4/15 Times | Team![]() | Opp. Ease | Tempo | Weather | Wind | Odds | Date 02-08 |
Player Name Jaxon Smith Njigba | Position WR | Prop anytimetd | Line 0.5BestLines | Prediction Yes | Trust% | Trends 0.7 | Last 5 Games Yes Hit 3/5 Times | Last 10 Games Yes Hit 5/10 Times | Last 15 Games Yes Hit 9/15 Times | Team![]() | Opp. Ease | Tempo | Weather | Wind | Odds | Date 02-08 |
Player Name Rhamondre Stevenson | Position RB | Prop anytimetd | Line 0.5BestLines | Prediction Yes | Trust% | Trends 0.6 | Last 5 Games Yes Hit 2/5 Times | Last 10 Games Yes Hit 3/10 Times | Last 15 Games Yes Hit 5/15 Times | Team![]() | Opp. Ease | Tempo | Weather | Wind | Odds | Date 02-08 |
Player Name Hunter Henry | Position TE | Prop anytimetd | Line 0.5BestLines | Prediction Yes | Trust% | Trends 0.3 | Last 5 Games Yes Hit 2/5 Times | Last 10 Games Yes Hit 4/10 Times | Last 15 Games Yes Hit 5/15 Times | Team![]() | Opp. Ease | Tempo | Weather | Wind | Odds | Date 02-08 |
Player Name Aj Barner | Position TE | Prop anytimetd | Line 0.5BestLines | Prediction Yes | Trust% | Trends 0.3 | Last 5 Games Yes Hit 2/5 Times | Last 10 Games Yes Hit 2/10 Times | Last 15 Games Yes Hit 4/15 Times | Team![]() | Opp. Ease | Tempo | Weather | Wind | Odds | Date 02-08 |
Player Name Stefon Diggs | Position WR | Prop anytimetd | Line 0.5BestLines | Prediction Yes | Trust% | Trends 0.3 | Last 5 Games Yes Hit 2/5 Times | Last 10 Games Yes Hit 2/10 Times | Last 15 Games Yes Hit 5/15 Times | Team![]() | Opp. Ease | Tempo | Weather | Wind | Odds | Date 02-08 |
Player Name Cooper Kupp | Position WR | Prop anytimetd | Line 0.5BestLines | Prediction Yes | Trust% | Trends 0.2 | Last 5 Games Yes Hit 1/5 Times | Last 10 Games Yes Hit 2/10 Times | Last 15 Games Yes Hit 3/15 Times | Team![]() | Opp. Ease | Tempo | Weather | Wind | Odds | Date 02-08 |
Player Name Drake Maye | Position QB | Prop anytimetd | Line 0.5BestLines | Prediction Yes | Trust% | Trends 0.2 | Last 5 Games Yes Hit 1/5 Times | Last 10 Games Yes Hit 2/10 Times | Last 15 Games Yes Hit 2/15 Times | Team![]() | Opp. Ease | Tempo | Weather | Wind | Odds | Date 02-08 |
Player Name Kayshon Boutte | Position WR | Prop anytimetd | Line 0.5BestLines | Prediction Yes | Trust% | Trends 0.4 | Last 5 Games Yes Hit 1/5 Times | Last 10 Games Yes Hit 3/10 Times | Last 15 Games Yes Hit 5/15 Times | Team![]() | Opp. Ease | Tempo | Weather | Wind | Odds | Date 02-08 |
Player Name Treveyon Henderson | Position RB | Prop anytimetd | Line 0.5BestLines | Prediction Yes | Trust% | Trends 0.6 | Last 5 Games Yes Hit 1/5 Times | Last 10 Games Yes Hit 3/10 Times | Last 15 Games Yes Hit 4/15 Times | Team![]() | Opp. Ease | Tempo | Weather | Wind | Odds | Date 02-08 |
Player Name George Holani | Position RB | Prop anytimetd | Line 0.5BestLines | Prediction Yes | Trust% | Trends 0.1 | Last 5 Games Yes Hit 1/5 Times | Last 10 Games Yes Hit 1/10 Times | Last 15 Games Yes Hit 1/14 Times | Team![]() | Opp. Ease | Tempo | Weather | Wind | Odds | Date 02-08 |
Player Name Demario Douglas | Position WR | Prop anytimetd | Line 0.5BestLines | Prediction Yes | Trust% | Trends 0.2 | Last 5 Games Yes Hit 1/5 Times | Last 10 Games Yes Hit 1/10 Times | Last 15 Games Yes Hit 3/15 Times | Team![]() | Opp. Ease | Tempo | Weather | Wind | Odds | Date 02-08 |
Player Name Austin Hooper | Position TE | Prop anytimetd | Line 0.5BestLines | Prediction Yes | Trust% | Trends 0.1 | Last 5 Games Yes Hit 1/5 Times | Last 10 Games Yes Hit 2/10 Times | Last 15 Games Yes Hit 2/15 Times | Team![]() | Opp. Ease | Tempo | Weather | Wind | Odds | Date 02-08 |
Player Name Jake Bobo | Position WR | Prop anytimetd | Line 0.5BestLines | Prediction Yes | Trust% | Trends 0.1 | Last 5 Games Yes Hit 1/5 Times | Last 10 Games Yes Hit 2/10 Times | Last 15 Games Yes Hit 2/15 Times | Team![]() | Opp. Ease | Tempo | Weather | Wind | Odds | Date 02-08 |
Player Name Efton Chism Iii | Position WR | Prop anytimetd | Line 0.5BestLines | Prediction Yes | Trust% | Trends 0.1 | Last 5 Games Yes Hit 1/5 Times | Last 10 Games Yes Hit 1/10 Times | Last 15 Games Yes Hit 1/10 Times | Team![]() | Opp. Ease | Tempo | Weather | Wind | Odds | Date 02-08 |
Player Name Kyle Williams | Position DL | Prop anytimetd | Line 0.5BestLines | Prediction Yes | Trust% | Trends 0.2 | Last 5 Games Yes Hit 1/5 Times | Last 10 Games Yes Hit 3/10 Times | Last 15 Games Yes Hit 3/15 Times | Team![]() | Opp. Ease | Tempo | Weather | Wind | Odds | Date 02-08 |
Player Name Rashid Shaheed | Position WR | Prop anytimetd | Line 0.5BestLines | Prediction Yes | Trust% | Trends 0.0 | Last 5 Games Yes Hit 0/5 Times | Last 10 Games Yes Hit 0/10 Times | Last 15 Games Yes Hit 0/15 Times | Team![]() | Opp. Ease | Tempo | Weather | Wind | Odds | Date 02-08 |
Player Name Mack Hollins | Position WR | Prop anytimetd | Line 0.5BestLines | Prediction Yes | Trust% | Trends 0.1 | Last 5 Games Yes Hit 0/5 Times | Last 10 Games Yes Hit 0/10 Times | Last 15 Games Yes Hit 2/15 Times | Team![]() | Opp. Ease | Tempo | Weather | Wind | Odds | Date 02-08 |
Player Name Sam Darnold | Position QB | Prop anytimetd | Line 0.5BestLines | Prediction Yes | Trust% | Trends 0.0 | Last 5 Games Yes Hit 0/5 Times | Last 10 Games Yes Hit 0/10 Times | Last 15 Games Yes Hit 0/15 Times | Team![]() | Opp. Ease | Tempo | Weather | Wind | Odds | Date 02-08 |
Player Name Elijah Arroyo | Position TE | Prop anytimetd | Line 0.5BestLines | Prediction Yes | Trust% | Trends 0.1 | Last 5 Games Yes Hit 0/5 Times | Last 10 Games Yes Hit 1/10 Times | Last 15 Games Yes Hit 1/13 Times | Team![]() | Opp. Ease | Tempo | Weather | Wind | Odds | Date 02-08 |
Player Name Eric Saubert | Position TE | Prop anytimetd | Line 0.5BestLines | Prediction Yes | Trust% | Trends 0.1 | Last 5 Games Yes Hit 0/5 Times | Last 10 Games Yes Hit 0/10 Times | Last 15 Games Yes Hit 1/15 Times | Team![]() | Opp. Ease | Tempo | Weather | Wind | Odds | Date 02-08 |
Player Name Cam Akers | Position RB | Prop anytimetd | Line 0.5BestLines | Prediction Yes | Trust% | Trends 0.2 | Last 5 Games Yes Hit 0/5 Times | Last 10 Games Yes Hit 2/10 Times | Last 15 Games Yes Hit 3/15 Times | Team![]() | Opp. Ease | Tempo | Weather | Wind | Odds | Date 02-08 |
Player Name Jack Westover | Position TE | Prop anytimetd | Line 0.5BestLines | Prediction Yes | Trust% | Trends 0.0 | Last 5 Games Yes Hit 0/5 Times | Last 10 Games Yes Hit 0/5 Times | Last 15 Games Yes Hit 0/5 Times | Team![]() | Opp. Ease | Tempo | Weather | Wind | Odds | Date 02-08 |
Player Name D'Ernest Johnson | Position RB | Prop anytimetd | Line 0.5BestLines | Prediction Yes | Trust% | Trends 0.0 | Last 5 Games Yes Hit 0/5 Times | Last 10 Games Yes Hit 0/10 Times | Last 15 Games Yes Hit 0/15 Times | Team![]() | Opp. Ease | Tempo | Weather | Wind | Odds | Date 02-08 |
Player Name Dareke Young | Position WR | Prop anytimetd | Line 0.5BestLines | Prediction Yes | Trust% | Trends 0.0 | Last 5 Games Yes Hit 0/5 Times | Last 10 Games Yes Hit 0/10 Times | Last 15 Games Yes Hit 0/15 Times | Team![]() | Opp. Ease | Tempo | Weather | Wind | Odds | Date 02-08 |
Player Name Brady Russell | Position RB | Prop anytimetd | Line 0.5BestLines | Prediction Yes | Trust% | Trends 0.0 | Last 5 Games Yes Hit 0/5 Times | Last 10 Games Yes Hit 0/10 Times | Last 15 Games Yes Hit 0/15 Times | Team![]() | Opp. Ease | Tempo | Weather | Wind | Odds | Date 02-08 |
Player Name Robbie Ouzts | Position RB | Prop anytimetd | Line 0.5BestLines | Prediction Yes | Trust% | Trends 0.0 | Last 5 Games Yes Hit 0/5 Times | Last 10 Games Yes Hit 0/5 Times | Last 15 Games Yes Hit 0/5 Times | Team![]() | Opp. Ease | Tempo | Weather | Wind | Odds | Date 02-08 |
Player Name Nick Kallerup | Position TE | Prop anytimetd | Line 0.5BestLines | Prediction Yes | Trust% | Trends | Last 5 Games Yes Hit 0/4 Times | Last 10 Games Yes Hit 0/4 Times | Last 15 Games Yes Hit 0/4 Times | Team![]() | Opp. Ease | Tempo | Weather | Wind | Odds | Date 02-08 |
Player Name Hunter Henry | Position TE | Prop receptions | Line 3.5BestLines | Prediction Under | Trust% | Trends 3.3 | Last 5 Games Under Hit 4/5 Times | Last 10 Games Under Hit 5/10 Times | Last 15 Games Under Hit 8/15 Times | Team![]() | Opp. Ease | Tempo | Weather | Wind | Odds -102BestOdds | Date 02-08 |
Player Name Rashid Shaheed | Position WR | Prop rushingyards | Line 4.5BestLines | Prediction Over | Trust% | Trends 6.1 | Last 5 Games Over Hit 2/5 Times | Last 10 Games Over Hit 4/10 Times | Last 15 Games Over Hit 5/15 Times | Team![]() | Opp. Ease | Tempo | Weather | Wind | Odds -105BestOdds | Date 02-08 |
Player Name Rhamondre Stevenson | Position RB | Prop receivingyards | Line 23.5BestLines | Prediction Under | Trust% | Trends 22.1 | Last 5 Games Under Hit 3/5 Times | Last 10 Games Under Hit 5/10 Times | Last 15 Games Under Hit 9/15 Times | Team![]() | Opp. Ease | Tempo | Weather | Wind | Odds -108BestOdds | Date 02-08 |
Player Name Kayshon Boutte | Position WR | Prop receivingyards | Line 30.5BestLines | Prediction Under | Trust% | Trends 38.6 | Last 5 Games Under Hit 3/5 Times | Last 10 Games Under Hit 6/10 Times | Last 15 Games Under Hit 8/15 Times | Team![]() | Opp. Ease | Tempo | Weather | Wind | Odds -109BestOdds | Date 02-08 |
Player Name Cooper Kupp | Position WR | Prop receivingyards | Line 34.5BestLines | Prediction Under | Trust% | Trends 36.9 | Last 5 Games Under Hit 2/5 Times | Last 10 Games Under Hit 5/10 Times | Last 15 Games Under Hit 7/15 Times | Team![]() | Opp. Ease | Tempo | Weather | Wind | Odds -109BestOdds | Date 02-08 |
Player Name Kenneth Walker Iii | Position RB | Prop receivingyards | Line 22.5BestLines | Prediction Under | Trust% | Trends 20.1 | Last 5 Games Under Hit 1/5 Times | Last 10 Games Under Hit 4/10 Times | Last 15 Games Under Hit 9/15 Times | Team![]() | Opp. Ease | Tempo | Weather | Wind | Odds -109BestOdds | Date 02-08 |
Player Name Stefon Diggs | Position WR | Prop receivingyards | Line 44.5BestLines | Prediction Under | Trust% | Trends 48.5 | Last 5 Games Under Hit 4/5 Times | Last 10 Games Under Hit 7/10 Times | Last 15 Games Under Hit 10/15 Times | Team![]() | Opp. Ease | Tempo | Weather | Wind | Odds -110BestOdds | Date 02-08 |
Player Name Jaxon Smith Njigba | Position WR | Prop receivingyards | Line 92.5BestLines | Prediction Under | Trust% | Trends 104.2 | Last 5 Games Under Hit 3/5 Times | Last 10 Games Under Hit 5/10 Times | Last 15 Games Under Hit 5/15 Times | Team![]() | Opp. Ease | Tempo | Weather | Wind | Odds -110BestOdds | Date 02-08 |
Player Name Mack Hollins | Position WR | Prop receivingyards | Line 26.5BestLines | Prediction Over | Trust% | Trends 40.1 | Last 5 Games Over Hit 4/5 Times | Last 10 Games Over Hit 8/10 Times | Last 15 Games Over Hit 10/15 Times | Team![]() | Opp. Ease | Tempo | Weather | Wind | Odds -111BestOdds | Date 02-08 |
Player Name Rashid Shaheed | Position WR | Prop receivingyards | Line 21.5BestLines | Prediction Under | Trust% | Trends 30.0 | Last 5 Games Under Hit 4/5 Times | Last 10 Games Under Hit 6/10 Times | Last 15 Games Under Hit 7/15 Times | Team![]() | Opp. Ease | Tempo | Weather | Wind | Odds -111BestOdds | Date 02-08 |
Player Name Rhamondre Stevenson | Position RB | Prop rushingyards | Line 50.5BestLines | Prediction Over | Trust% | Trends 48.5 | Last 5 Games Over Hit 4/5 Times | Last 10 Games Over Hit 5/10 Times | Last 15 Games Over Hit 6/15 Times | Team![]() | Opp. Ease | Tempo | Weather | Wind | Odds -111BestOdds | Date 02-08 |
Player Name Demario Douglas | Position WR | Prop receivingyards | Line 10.5BestLines | Prediction Over | Trust% | Trends 30.4 | Last 5 Games Over Hit 2/5 Times | Last 10 Games Over Hit 5/10 Times | Last 15 Games Over Hit 10/15 Times | Team![]() | Opp. Ease | Tempo | Weather | Wind | Odds -111BestOdds | Date 02-08 |
Player Name Kenneth Walker Iii | Position RB | Prop rushingyards | Line 71.5BestLines | Prediction Under | Trust% | Trends 64.1 | Last 5 Games Under Hit 2/5 Times | Last 10 Games Under Hit 7/10 Times | Last 15 Games Under Hit 11/15 Times | Team![]() | Opp. Ease | Tempo | Weather | Wind | Odds -111BestOdds | Date 02-08 |
Player Name George Holani | Position RB | Prop receivingyards | Line 11.5BestLines | Prediction Under | Trust% | Trends 2.9 | Last 5 Games Under Hit 4/5 Times | Last 10 Games Under Hit 8/10 Times | Last 15 Games Under Hit 12/14 Times | Team![]() | Opp. Ease | Tempo | Weather | Wind | Odds -112BestOdds | Date 02-08 |
Player Name Drake Maye | Position QB | Prop passingyards | Line 224.5BestLines | Prediction Under | Trust% | Trends 244.4 | Last 5 Games Under Hit 3/5 Times | Last 10 Games Under Hit 4/10 Times | Last 15 Games Under Hit 5/15 Times | Team![]() | Opp. Ease | Tempo | Weather | Wind | Odds -112BestOdds | Date 02-08 |
In the passing game, the Texans’ receivers must navigate a disciplined Patriots secondary known for their zone coverage schemes. This will require precision and timing from Houston’s quarterback, as the New England defenders excel at reading quarterbacks and jumping routes. Miscommunication or hesitation could lead to interceptions, further tilting the game in New England’s favor.
Props Angles
Look for New England’s starting running back to potentially have a standout performance against a vulnerable Texans run defense. Given Houston’s struggles against the run, this could be a game where New England’s ground attack shines. Additionally, the Patriots’ defense might be a good angle for turnover-related props, as they could capitalize on Houston’s offensive miscues.
NFL player props predictions & insights
Venue, Travel & Weather Watch
The game takes place at Gillette Stadium, an outdoor venue with a natural grass surface. Typically, January games here can be affected by cold weather, potentially influencing game plans, particularly for the visiting Texans coming from a warmer climate. Travel shouldn’t be a significant issue, as both teams have had adequate rest and preparation time leading into this playoff matchup. Weather conditions are still to be announced, but it’s essential to keep an eye on potential cold and windy conditions that could impact passing games.
How to Watch
- Date: 2026-01-18
- Time: TBA (ET)
- TV/Stream: Official broadcaster listings (TBA)
Methodology & Transparency
Our prediction utilizes a combination of directional inputs, film analysis, and matchup modeling. We focus on key factors such as protection, pressure, and game flow to derive insights. While our approach aims to provide a comprehensive view, it’s important to note that outcomes are inherently uncertain, and no prediction can guarantee results. Our analysis emphasizes observed trends and contextual factors without relying on exact numbers or statistics.
Responsible Wagering Note
Please remember to bet responsibly and consider your financial situation before placing any wagers.
Pick & Score
The New England Patriots are projected to win 27–17, leveraging their home advantage and defensive prowess. Confidence is moderate to high, as New England’s strengths align well against Houston’s weaknesses, particularly in the trenches and secondary coverages.
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