Buffalo Bills vs Denver Broncos Prediction – NFL Preview, Picks & Analysis

Buffalo Bills vs Denver Broncos Prediction - NFL Preview, Picks & Analysis
MatchupBuffalo Bills at Denver Broncos
Date2026-01-17
TimeTBA (ET)

Buffalo Bills vs Denver Broncos Prediction & Preview — 2026-01-17

TL;DR

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The Buffalo Bills travel to face the Denver Broncos in a high-altitude clash that could test the endurance of both teams. The Bills’ aerial attack, led by a potent quarterback, might find success against an inconsistent Denver secondary. Meanwhile, Denver will look to exploit Buffalo’s run defense, which has shown vulnerabilities this season. Expect a close game with the Bills edging out a win, 27–23 Buffalo Bills, due to their explosive passing game and strategic defensive adjustments.

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Where This Game Tilts

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  • Buffalo’s passing offense is top-tier and could exploit Denver’s inconsistent secondary coverage.
  • Denver’s run game has been improving and could challenge Buffalo’s shaky run fits.
  • Buffalo’s offensive line has been solid in pass protection, limiting opponent’s pressure opportunities.
  • Denver’s pass rush, while strong, has struggled to finish plays with sacks against mobile QBs.
  • Buffalo’s defense has been opportunistic in generating turnovers, creating critical game-changing plays.

Recent Form & Styles

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The Buffalo Bills have been riding a wave of offensive success, particularly through the air. Their quarterback, known for his arm strength and mobility, has been slicing through defenses with ease. The Bills tend to play at a brisk pace, looking to maximize the number of possessions and capitalize on explosive plays downfield. This offensive approach often forces opponents into a shootout, where Buffalo’s dynamic receivers can thrive against man and zone coverages alike.

Defensively, Buffalo has been opportunistic, often creating turnovers through aggressive play. However, their run defense has shown some cracks, occasionally allowing chunk plays that sustain opponent drives. This vulnerability could be a concern against a Denver offense that is finding its rhythm on the ground. The Broncos have embraced a more balanced attack, leveraging their running game to control the clock and set up manageable third-down situations.

Denver’s defense, traditionally stout, has been inconsistent in coverage, particularly against teams with deep receiving corps. While their front has been effective against the run, the secondary has been susceptible to big plays. The Broncos’ coaching staff has been adept at making in-game adjustments, but against a formidable opponent like Buffalo, they will need to be at their strategic best.

Key Matchups

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The matchup between Buffalo’s offensive line and Denver’s defensive front will be crucial. Buffalo’s line has protected their quarterback effectively, allowing him time to dissect defenses and connect on deep throws. However, Denver’s pass rush, while currently underwhelming in sack totals, can disrupt timing and force hurried throws. If Denver can generate pressure without blitzing, it could limit Buffalo’s big-play potential.

On the other side, Denver’s rushing attack faces a Buffalo front seven that has struggled at times with run fits and gap discipline. If the Broncos can establish the run early, it will open up play-action opportunities and keep the Buffalo defense guessing. This dual-threat capability could be the key to sustaining drives and keeping the potent Buffalo offense off the field.

The Bills’ receivers against the Broncos’ secondary will be another critical battle. Buffalo’s receiving corps features speed and savvy route runners capable of exploiting mismatches. Denver’s cornerbacks will need to play disciplined and avoid giving up big plays. The Broncos’ safeties will also be tasked with providing over-the-top help to prevent explosive passing plays that Buffalo thrives on.

Props Angles

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Take Me To NFL Player Props Predictions.

Player NamePositionPropLinePredictionTrust%TrendsLast 5 GamesLast 10 GamesLast 15 GamesTeamOpp. EaseTempoWeatherWindOddsDate
Player Name
Rashid ShaheedRashid Shaheed
Position
WR
Prop
anytimetd
LinePrediction
Yes
Trust%Last 5 Games
Yes Hit 0/5 Times
Last 10 Games
Yes Hit 0/10 Times
Last 15 Games
Yes Hit 0/15 Times
Team
Seattle Seahawks
Opp. EaseTempoWeatherWindOddsDate
02-08
Player Name
Mack HollinsMack Hollins
Position
WR
Prop
anytimetd
LinePrediction
Yes
Trust%Last 5 Games
Yes Hit 0/5 Times
Last 10 Games
Yes Hit 0/10 Times
Last 15 Games
Yes Hit 2/15 Times
Team
New England Patriots
Opp. EaseTempoWeatherWindOddsDate
02-08
Player Name
Sam DarnoldSam Darnold
Position
QB
Prop
anytimetd
LinePrediction
Yes
Trust%Last 5 Games
Yes Hit 0/5 Times
Last 10 Games
Yes Hit 0/10 Times
Last 15 Games
Yes Hit 0/15 Times
Team
Seattle Seahawks
Opp. EaseTempoWeatherWindOddsDate
02-08
Player Name
Eric SaubertEric Saubert
Position
TE
Prop
anytimetd
LinePrediction
Yes
Trust%Last 5 Games
Yes Hit 0/5 Times
Last 10 Games
Yes Hit 0/10 Times
Last 15 Games
Yes Hit 1/15 Times
Team
Seattle Seahawks
Opp. EaseTempoWeatherWindOddsDate
02-08
Player Name
Jack WestoverJack Westover
Position
TE
Prop
anytimetd
LinePrediction
Yes
Trust%Last 5 Games
Yes Hit 0/5 Times
Last 10 Games
Yes Hit 0/5 Times
Last 15 Games
Yes Hit 0/5 Times
Team
New England Patriots
Opp. EaseTempoWeatherWindOddsDate
02-08
Player Name
D'Ernest JohnsonD'Ernest Johnson
Position
RB
Prop
anytimetd
LinePrediction
Yes
Trust%Last 5 Games
Yes Hit 0/5 Times
Last 10 Games
Yes Hit 0/10 Times
Last 15 Games
Yes Hit 0/15 Times
Team
New England Patriots
Opp. EaseTempoWeatherWindOddsDate
02-08
Player Name
Dareke YoungDareke Young
Position
WR
Prop
anytimetd
LinePrediction
Yes
Trust%Last 5 Games
Yes Hit 0/5 Times
Last 10 Games
Yes Hit 0/10 Times
Last 15 Games
Yes Hit 0/15 Times
Team
Seattle Seahawks
Opp. EaseTempoWeatherWindOddsDate
02-08
Player Name
Brady RussellBrady Russell
Position
RB
Prop
anytimetd
LinePrediction
Yes
Trust%Last 5 Games
Yes Hit 0/5 Times
Last 10 Games
Yes Hit 0/10 Times
Last 15 Games
Yes Hit 0/15 Times
Team
Seattle Seahawks
Opp. EaseTempoWeatherWindOddsDate
02-08
Player Name
Robbie OuztsRobbie Ouzts
Position
RB
Prop
anytimetd
LinePrediction
Yes
Trust%Last 5 Games
Yes Hit 0/5 Times
Last 10 Games
Yes Hit 0/5 Times
Last 15 Games
Yes Hit 0/5 Times
Team
Seattle Seahawks
Opp. EaseTempoWeatherWindOddsDate
02-08
Player Name
Nick KallerupNick Kallerup
Position
TE
Prop
anytimetd
LinePrediction
Yes
Trust%Last 5 Games
Yes Hit 0/4 Times
Last 10 Games
Yes Hit 0/4 Times
Last 15 Games
Yes Hit 0/4 Times
Team
Seattle Seahawks
Opp. EaseTempoWeatherWindOddsDate
02-08
Player Name
George HolaniGeorge Holani
Position
RB
Prop
anytimetd
LinePrediction
Yes
Trust%Last 5 Games
Yes Hit 1/5 Times
Last 10 Games
Yes Hit 1/10 Times
Last 15 Games
Yes Hit 1/14 Times
Team
Seattle Seahawks
Opp. EaseTempoWeatherWindOddsDate
02-08
Player Name
Demario DouglasDemario Douglas
Position
WR
Prop
anytimetd
LinePrediction
Yes
Trust%Last 5 Games
Yes Hit 1/5 Times
Last 10 Games
Yes Hit 1/10 Times
Last 15 Games
Yes Hit 3/15 Times
Team
New England Patriots
Opp. EaseTempoWeatherWindOddsDate
02-08
Player Name
Efton Chism IiiEfton Chism Iii
Position
WR
Prop
anytimetd
LinePrediction
Yes
Trust%Last 5 Games
Yes Hit 1/5 Times
Last 10 Games
Yes Hit 1/10 Times
Last 15 Games
Yes Hit 1/10 Times
Team
New England Patriots
Opp. EaseTempoWeatherWindOddsDate
02-08
Player Name
Elijah ArroyoElijah Arroyo
Position
TE
Prop
anytimetd
LinePrediction
Yes
Trust%Last 5 Games
Yes Hit 0/5 Times
Last 10 Games
Yes Hit 1/10 Times
Last 15 Games
Yes Hit 1/13 Times
Team
Seattle Seahawks
Opp. EaseTempoWeatherWindOddsDate
02-08
Player Name
Aj BarnerAj Barner
Position
TE
Prop
anytimetd
LinePrediction
Yes
Trust%Last 5 Games
Yes Hit 2/5 Times
Last 10 Games
Yes Hit 2/10 Times
Last 15 Games
Yes Hit 4/15 Times
Team
Seattle Seahawks
Opp. EaseTempoWeatherWindOddsDate
02-08
Player Name
Stefon DiggsStefon Diggs
Position
WR
Prop
anytimetd
LinePrediction
Yes
Trust%Last 5 Games
Yes Hit 2/5 Times
Last 10 Games
Yes Hit 2/10 Times
Last 15 Games
Yes Hit 5/15 Times
Team
New England Patriots
Opp. EaseTempoWeatherWindOddsDate
02-08
Player Name
Cooper KuppCooper Kupp
Position
WR
Prop
anytimetd
LinePrediction
Yes
Trust%Last 5 Games
Yes Hit 1/5 Times
Last 10 Games
Yes Hit 2/10 Times
Last 15 Games
Yes Hit 3/15 Times
Team
Seattle Seahawks
Opp. EaseTempoWeatherWindOddsDate
02-08
Player Name
Drake MayeDrake Maye
Position
QB
Prop
anytimetd
LinePrediction
Yes
Trust%Last 5 Games
Yes Hit 1/5 Times
Last 10 Games
Yes Hit 2/10 Times
Last 15 Games
Yes Hit 2/15 Times
Team
New England Patriots
Opp. EaseTempoWeatherWindOddsDate
02-08
Player Name
Austin HooperAustin Hooper
Position
TE
Prop
anytimetd
LinePrediction
Yes
Trust%Last 5 Games
Yes Hit 1/5 Times
Last 10 Games
Yes Hit 2/10 Times
Last 15 Games
Yes Hit 2/15 Times
Team
New England Patriots
Opp. EaseTempoWeatherWindOddsDate
02-08
Player Name
Jake BoboJake Bobo
Position
WR
Prop
anytimetd
LinePrediction
Yes
Trust%Last 5 Games
Yes Hit 1/5 Times
Last 10 Games
Yes Hit 2/10 Times
Last 15 Games
Yes Hit 2/15 Times
Team
Seattle Seahawks
Opp. EaseTempoWeatherWindOddsDate
02-08
Player Name
Cam AkersCam Akers
Position
RB
Prop
anytimetd
LinePrediction
Yes
Trust%Last 5 Games
Yes Hit 0/5 Times
Last 10 Games
Yes Hit 2/10 Times
Last 15 Games
Yes Hit 3/15 Times
Team
Seattle Seahawks
Opp. EaseTempoWeatherWindOddsDate
02-08
Player Name
Rhamondre StevensonRhamondre Stevenson
Position
RB
Prop
anytimetd
LinePrediction
Yes
Trust%Last 5 Games
Yes Hit 2/5 Times
Last 10 Games
Yes Hit 3/10 Times
Last 15 Games
Yes Hit 5/15 Times
Team
New England Patriots
Opp. EaseTempoWeatherWindOddsDate
02-08
Player Name
Jake BoboJake Bobo
Position
WR
Prop
receivingyards
LinePrediction
Under
Trust%Last 5 Games
Under Hit 2/5 Times
Last 10 Games
Under Hit 3/10 Times
Last 15 Games
Under Hit 6/15 Times
Team
Seattle Seahawks
Opp. EaseTempoWeatherWindOddsDate
02-08
Player Name
Jaxon Smith NjigbaJaxon Smith Njigba
Position
WR
Prop
receptions
LinePrediction
Under
Trust%Last 5 Games
Under Hit 2/5 Times
Last 10 Games
Under Hit 3/10 Times
Last 15 Games
Under Hit 4/15 Times
Team
Seattle Seahawks
Opp. EaseTempoWeatherWindOddsDate
02-08
Player Name
Kayshon BoutteKayshon Boutte
Position
WR
Prop
anytimetd
LinePrediction
Yes
Trust%Last 5 Games
Yes Hit 1/5 Times
Last 10 Games
Yes Hit 3/10 Times
Last 15 Games
Yes Hit 5/15 Times
Team
New England Patriots
Opp. EaseTempoWeatherWindOddsDate
02-08
Player Name
Treveyon HendersonTreveyon Henderson
Position
RB
Prop
anytimetd
LinePrediction
Yes
Trust%Last 5 Games
Yes Hit 1/5 Times
Last 10 Games
Yes Hit 3/10 Times
Last 15 Games
Yes Hit 4/15 Times
Team
New England Patriots
Opp. EaseTempoWeatherWindOddsDate
02-08
Player Name
Kyle WilliamsKyle Williams
Position
DL
Prop
anytimetd
LinePrediction
Yes
Trust%Last 5 Games
Yes Hit 1/5 Times
Last 10 Games
Yes Hit 3/10 Times
Last 15 Games
Yes Hit 3/15 Times
Team
New England Patriots
Opp. EaseTempoWeatherWindOddsDate
02-08
Player Name
Kenneth Walker IiiKenneth Walker Iii
Position
RB
Prop
receptions
LinePrediction
Under
Trust%Last 5 Games
Under Hit 1/5 Times
Last 10 Games
Under Hit 3/10 Times
Last 15 Games
Under Hit 8/15 Times
Team
Seattle Seahawks
Opp. EaseTempoWeatherWindOddsDate
02-08
Player Name
Treveyon HendersonTreveyon Henderson
Position
RB
Prop
receivingyards
LinePrediction
Under
Trust%Last 5 Games
Under Hit 4/5 Times
Last 10 Games
Under Hit 4/10 Times
Last 15 Games
Under Hit 7/15 Times
Team
New England Patriots
Opp. EaseTempoWeatherWindOddsDate
02-08
Player Name
Kenneth Walker IiiKenneth Walker Iii
Position
RB
Prop
anytimetd
LinePrediction
Yes
Trust%Last 5 Games
Yes Hit 3/5 Times
Last 10 Games
Yes Hit 4/10 Times
Last 15 Games
Yes Hit 4/15 Times
Team
Seattle Seahawks
Opp. EaseTempoWeatherWindOddsDate
02-08
Player Name
Sam DarnoldSam Darnold
Position
QB
Prop
passingyards
LinePrediction
Under
Trust%Last 5 Games
Under Hit 3/5 Times
Last 10 Games
Under Hit 4/10 Times
Last 15 Games
Under Hit 6/15 Times
Team
Seattle Seahawks
Opp. EaseTempoWeatherWindOddsDate
02-08
Player Name
Drake MayeDrake Maye
Position
QB
Prop
passingyards
LinePrediction
Under
Trust%Last 5 Games
Under Hit 3/5 Times
Last 10 Games
Under Hit 4/10 Times
Last 15 Games
Under Hit 5/15 Times
Team
New England Patriots
Opp. EaseTempoWeatherWindOddsDate
02-08
Player Name
Aj BarnerAj Barner
Position
TE
Prop
receivingyards
LinePrediction
Under
Trust%Last 5 Games
Under Hit 3/5 Times
Last 10 Games
Under Hit 4/10 Times
Last 15 Games
Under Hit 7/15 Times
Team
Seattle Seahawks
Opp. EaseTempoWeatherWindOddsDate
02-08
Player Name
Drake MayeDrake Maye
Position
QB
Prop
rushingyards
LinePrediction
Over
Trust%Last 5 Games
Over Hit 3/5 Times
Last 10 Games
Over Hit 4/10 Times
Last 15 Games
Over Hit 6/15 Times
Team
New England Patriots
Opp. EaseTempoWeatherWindOddsDate
02-08
Player Name
Hunter HenryHunter Henry
Position
TE
Prop
anytimetd
LinePrediction
Yes
Trust%Last 5 Games
Yes Hit 2/5 Times
Last 10 Games
Yes Hit 4/10 Times
Last 15 Games
Yes Hit 5/15 Times
Team
New England Patriots
Opp. EaseTempoWeatherWindOddsDate
02-08
Player Name
Hunter HenryHunter Henry
Position
TE
Prop
receivingyards
LinePrediction
Under
Trust%Last 5 Games
Under Hit 2/5 Times
Last 10 Games
Under Hit 4/10 Times
Last 15 Games
Under Hit 8/15 Times
Team
New England Patriots
Opp. EaseTempoWeatherWindOddsDate
02-08
Player Name
Mack HollinsMack Hollins
Position
WR
Prop
receptions
LinePrediction
Under
Trust%Last 5 Games
Under Hit 2/5 Times
Last 10 Games
Under Hit 4/10 Times
Last 15 Games
Under Hit 8/15 Times
Team
New England Patriots
Opp. EaseTempoWeatherWindOddsDate
02-08
Player Name
Rashid ShaheedRashid Shaheed
Position
WR
Prop
rushingyards
LinePrediction
Over
Trust%Last 5 Games
Over Hit 2/5 Times
Last 10 Games
Over Hit 4/10 Times
Last 15 Games
Over Hit 5/15 Times
Team
Seattle Seahawks
Opp. EaseTempoWeatherWindOddsDate
02-08
Player Name
Aj BarnerAj Barner
Position
TE
Prop
rushingyards
LinePrediction
Over
Trust%Last 5 Games
Over Hit 2/5 Times
Last 10 Games
Over Hit 4/10 Times
Last 15 Games
Over Hit 7/15 Times
Team
Seattle Seahawks
Opp. EaseTempoWeatherWindOddsDate
02-08
Player Name
Kenneth Walker IiiKenneth Walker Iii
Position
RB
Prop
receivingyards
LinePrediction
Under
Trust%Last 5 Games
Under Hit 1/5 Times
Last 10 Games
Under Hit 4/10 Times
Last 15 Games
Under Hit 9/15 Times
Team
Seattle Seahawks
Opp. EaseTempoWeatherWindOddsDate
02-08
Player Name
Hunter HenryHunter Henry
Position
TE
Prop
receptions
LinePrediction
Under
Trust%Last 5 Games
Under Hit 4/5 Times
Last 10 Games
Under Hit 5/10 Times
Last 15 Games
Under Hit 8/15 Times
Team
New England Patriots
Opp. EaseTempoWeatherWindOddsDate
02-08
Player Name
Rhamondre StevensonRhamondre Stevenson
Position
RB
Prop
rushingyards
LinePrediction
Over
Trust%Last 5 Games
Over Hit 4/5 Times
Last 10 Games
Over Hit 5/10 Times
Last 15 Games
Over Hit 6/15 Times
Team
New England Patriots
Opp. EaseTempoWeatherWindOddsDate
02-08
Player Name
Jaxon Smith NjigbaJaxon Smith Njigba
Position
WR
Prop
anytimetd
LinePrediction
Yes
Trust%Last 5 Games
Yes Hit 3/5 Times
Last 10 Games
Yes Hit 5/10 Times
Last 15 Games
Yes Hit 9/15 Times
Team
Seattle Seahawks
Opp. EaseTempoWeatherWindOddsDate
02-08
Player Name
Sam DarnoldSam Darnold
Position
QB
Prop
passattempts
LinePrediction
Under
Trust%Last 5 Games
Under Hit 3/5 Times
Last 10 Games
Under Hit 5/10 Times
Last 15 Games
Under Hit 8/15 Times
Team
Seattle Seahawks
Opp. EaseTempoWeatherWindOddsDate
02-08
Player Name
Jaxon Smith NjigbaJaxon Smith Njigba
Position
WR
Prop
receivingyards
LinePrediction
Under
Trust%Last 5 Games
Under Hit 3/5 Times
Last 10 Games
Under Hit 5/10 Times
Last 15 Games
Under Hit 5/15 Times
Team
Seattle Seahawks
Opp. EaseTempoWeatherWindOddsDate
02-08
Player Name
Rhamondre StevensonRhamondre Stevenson
Position
RB
Prop
receivingyards
LinePrediction
Under
Trust%Last 5 Games
Under Hit 3/5 Times
Last 10 Games
Under Hit 5/10 Times
Last 15 Games
Under Hit 9/15 Times
Team
New England Patriots
Opp. EaseTempoWeatherWindOddsDate
02-08
Player Name
Sam DarnoldSam Darnold
Position
QB
Prop
rushingyards
LinePrediction
Over
Trust%Last 5 Games
Over Hit 3/5 Times
Last 10 Games
Over Hit 5/10 Times
Last 15 Games
Over Hit 5/15 Times
Team
Seattle Seahawks
Opp. EaseTempoWeatherWindOddsDate
02-08
Player Name
Cooper KuppCooper Kupp
Position
WR
Prop
receivingyards
LinePrediction
Under
Trust%Last 5 Games
Under Hit 2/5 Times
Last 10 Games
Under Hit 5/10 Times
Last 15 Games
Under Hit 7/15 Times
Team
Seattle Seahawks
Opp. EaseTempoWeatherWindOddsDate
02-08
Player Name
Demario DouglasDemario Douglas
Position
WR
Prop
receivingyards
LinePrediction
Over
Trust%Last 5 Games
Over Hit 2/5 Times
Last 10 Games
Over Hit 5/10 Times
Last 15 Games
Over Hit 10/15 Times
Team
New England Patriots
Opp. EaseTempoWeatherWindOddsDate
02-08
Player Name
Drake MayeDrake Maye
Position
QB
Prop
passattempts
LinePrediction
Under
Trust%Last 5 Games
Under Hit 5/5 Times
Last 10 Games
Under Hit 6/10 Times
Last 15 Games
Under Hit 10/15 Times
Team
New England Patriots
Opp. EaseTempoWeatherWindOddsDate
02-08

In the prop market, consider exploring options related to Buffalo’s quarterback exceeding passing yard benchmarks, given Denver’s coverage vulnerabilities. Additionally, look for rushing props on Denver’s lead back, who could benefit from Buffalo’s inconsistent run defense. Receiver props for Buffalo’s top wideout might also be worthwhile, as his ability to stretch the field could lead to significant yardage totals.

NFL player props predictions & insights

Venue, Travel & Weather Watch

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The game will be played at Empower Field at Mile High in Denver, an outdoor stadium known for its challenging altitude. This elevation can impact visiting teams, particularly later in games as fatigue sets in. The Bills will need to manage their rotations carefully to maintain energy levels throughout the game. Weather conditions are yet to be determined, but Denver’s winter climate can present cold and potentially snowy conditions, which could influence game plans, especially in the passing game.

How to Watch

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  • Date: 2026-01-17
  • Time: TBA (ET)
  • TV/Stream: Official broadcaster listings (TBA)

Methodology & Transparency

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The analysis within this preview draws upon a blend of directional performance metrics, film review, and contextual matchup analysis. By evaluating recent game tapes and considering each team’s strategic tendencies, the aim is to provide a comprehensive overview of potential game scripts. While the approach is thorough and data-informed, it is important to recognize the inherent unpredictability of sports and that predictions are not guarantees.

Responsible Wagering Note

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Always bet responsibly and consider the enjoyment of the game as the primary focus.

Pick & Score

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Expect a competitive contest with the Bills ultimately securing a 27–23 victory. The confidence in this pick stems from Buffalo’s superior passing game and Denver’s defensive inconsistencies. Buffalo’s ability to capitalize on explosive plays and create turnovers should tilt the game in their favor.

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